Bridgeport, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

447
FXUS61 KRLX 261835
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
235 PM EDT Sat Jul 26 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure continues a stretch of hot and humid weather with
the chance for mainly afternoon and evening showers and storms
with localized downpours. A cold front arrives late next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 1141 AM Saturday...

A dome of high pressure will remain situated over the southeastern
U.S. this weekend, leading to continued heat and humidity. It is
important to stay hydrated and take breaks in the shade or air
conditioning if spending extended time outdoors. Be aware of the
signs of heat-related illnesses, such as dizziness, confusion,
weakness, and nausea. More information on heat safety is available
at weather.gov/safety/heat.

While isolated showers and storms are possible today, the best
chance for more scattered to widespread activity will likely be
concentrated north of our coverage area, with mid-level shortwaves
tracking around the edge of the high-pressure system. The Storm
Prediction Center (SPC) has placed northern West Virginia and
southeast Ohio under a marginal risk for severe weather today. The
primary threat from any storms that develop will be localized
damaging wind gusts, given the weak to marginal shear in the
atmosphere.

The chance for showers and storms is expected to increase on Sunday
as the upper-level high shifts slightly west, allowing weak
disturbances to approach the central Appalachians. This will likely
result in more widespread thunderstorm coverage. With high
atmospheric moisture, indicated by PWATs potentially exceeding 2.00
inches, localized flooding will be a concern. Both the SPC and the
Weather Prediction Center (WPC) have placed portions of the area
under a marginal risk of excessive rainfall and severe storms for
Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1142 AM Saturday...

The heat wave is forecast to persist into the new work week as the
center of the upper-level high pressure moves and expands over the
Central U.S. There is some disagreement among forecast models
regarding the peak intensity of this high-pressure system; for
example, the ECMWF model suggests it will reach maximum strength on
Tuesday, while other models indicate a peak on Monday.

Lingering weak energy in the mid-levels of the atmosphere may allow
for isolated showers and thunderstorms on both Monday and Tuesday.
There is a possibility that heat on Tuesday could approach extreme
heat warning criteria, with actual air temperatures forecast to
reach the lower 90s and heat indices potentially ranging from 100 to
105 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1142 AM Saturday...

Looking ahead, some forecast models, including recent runs of the
GFS and ECMWF, suggest that the dominant 500-mb high pressure could
break into two separate centers by Wednesday, with one over the
central U.S. and another over the East Coast. This scenario
could potentially make Wednesday the hottest day of the week,
with afternoon temperatures possibly reaching the mid-90s and
heat indices meeting or exceeding extreme heat warning criteria
in the lowlands.

Confidence is growing in a significant pattern change toward the end
of the week. Most deterministic and ensemble models are projecting a
cold front will pass through the region. While there is some
discrepancy among the models regarding the exact timing of this
frontal passage, it is expected to be followed by another area of
high pressure building in over the upper Midwest and northern Great
Lakes. This would usher in a refreshing northerly breeze for next
weekend, significantly lowering humidity to more comfortable levels
in the 50s during the day.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 133 PM Saturday...

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to erupt through the
rest of the afternoon, before diminishing this evening. In any
thunderstorm, visibility can briefly reduce to IFR and winds may
gust to 30 kts or greater. Locations most likely to see these
thunderstorms are KPKB, KCKB, and KEKN.

Overnight, some isolated instances of fog may develop where it
previously rained, but low-level winds should be just strong
enough to prevent widespread fog. At this time, MVFR fog was
added into the KEKN 18Z TAF, but this could change with later
TAF packages.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Amendments may be needed for
thunderstorms. Fog may develop in more places than KEKN
overnight.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
IFR conditions possible in showers and thunderstorms again Sunday
afternoon and evening, which in turn could lead to IFR fog
overnight Sunday night into early Monday morning.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for WVZ005>011-
     013>020-026>031.
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ066-067-075-
     076-083>087.
KY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...JMC
NEAR TERM...JMC
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...JMC